Last month was the hottest May globally since records began in 1880, new figures show.

The record heat, combined with increasingly certain predictions of an El Niño, means experts now are speculating whether 2014 could become the hottest year on record.

Data published by the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration on Monday showed the combined average land and ocean surface temperature last month was 1.33 degrees Fahrenheit above the 20th-century average of 58.6 F, making it the highest on record.

Previously, the warmest May was 2010, followed by 2012, 1998 and 2013.
The combined average land and ocean surface temperature in May was 1.33 degrees Fahrenheit above the 20th-century average of 58.6 F.
Credit:

hot_weather_sun_drought

The combined average land and ocean surface temperature in May was 1.33 degrees Fahrenheit above the 20th-century average of 58.6 F.

×

Worldwide, March-May was the second-warmest ever by NOAA's records – 2010 holds the record for that period. April 2014 also was the hottest April ever by NOAA's records.

There are two other main global temperature records in addition to NOAA's, one kept by NASA and the other by the Met Office's Hadley Center in the U.K. The three are combined by the U.N.'s World Meteorological Organization, which ranks 2010 as the warmest on record and says 13 of the 14 warmest years on record occurred in the 21st century.

Some forecasters now are predicting a 90 percent chance of El Niño – the weather phenomenon that can cause drought in Asia and Australia and lead to higher temperatures – happening this year, opening the possibility that 2014 will be the hottest year yet.

Kevin Trenberth, a climate scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado, told the Guardian's environment network partner, Climate Central: "I agree that 2014 could well be the warmest on record, and/or 2015, depending on how things play out."

Adam Vaughan is with The Guardian.

This story is part of Climate Desk, a journalistic collaboration among The Atlantic, CIR, The Guardian, Grist, The Huffington Post, Mother Jones, Slate and Wired.

 

 

Republish our articles for free, online or in print, under a Creative Commons license.